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Bank of Thailand watch: Thailand is feeling the squeeze

Research by Aris Dacanay, Senior ASEAN Economist, HSBC Global Investment Research HSBC expects the Bank of Thailand (BoT) to keep monetary policy unchanged at 1.00% at the upcoming meeting on 24 June 2026 and even potentially throughout 2026 and 2027 due to a wobbly growth outlook. For one, fiscal policy will need to be tightened in 2027 to keep public debt-to-GDP below the voluntary limit set by policymakers of 70%. This fiscal retrenchment then risks restricting Thailand's potential growth

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